Every signal. Every outcome. Including the ones that were wrong.
EdgeLetter grades its own output against independent evidence. Outcomes are assigned by the system — not curated by a human editor. This is the complete record: correct calls, incorrect calls, and invalidated theses. Nothing has been removed.
✓ No retroactive edits · All outcomes published · Immutable timestamps
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Signals Published
All time
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Forecast Accuracy
Directional forecast quality
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Intelligence Utility
Incl. invalidation protection
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Median Lead Time
Hours ahead of consensus
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Outcomes Graded
Review windows closed
Forecast Accuracy
(Correct + Partially Correct) ÷ (Correct + Partially Correct + Incorrect) Was the directional forecast right?
Intelligence Utility Rate
(Correct + Partial + Invalidated) ÷ (all non-ambiguous non-N/A) Did EdgeLetter deliver actionable intelligence — including detecting when conditions changed?
Looking for Protection Cards with verified lead times? The Proof Archive shows all 134 verified events with timestamps, evidence sources, and lead time calculations — filterable and publicly auditable.